Obama is in trouble.

With the announcement of his running mate only hours away, and his victory parade in Denver starting on Monday, Barack Hussein Obama should be on top of the world. But he is not.

Polls are showing him in a dead heat with John McCain. This is bad for him. For after his world wind tour he should be up by at least 15 points. Polls are starting to look bad for him in states like Florida, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. Even in New York trouble is brewing with his lead dropping from 15 points to 8 points.

So what does Obama do? He closes his offices in the states he feels he cannot win.

Barack Obama has pulled his TV ads from seven states that voted Republican in 2004, including the perennial swing state of Florida and two others -- North Carolina and Virginia -- he had been agressively targeting as part of his 50-state strategy.

The move could suggest that Obama is returning to a more traditional game plan of focusing on key battleground states to reach the 270 Electoral College votes to win the presidency.

Obama's campaign told Fox News Network, which first reported the shift, that it is a temporary suspension during the Democratic convention. The other states are Alaska, Georgia, Montana, and North Dakota.

But Republican rival John McCain's camp saw more significance.

Sarah Simmons, McCain's strategy director, cited advertising spending and polling data that she said shows that in the states where Obama has spent time and bought ads, his poll numbers dropped.

In a memo, she asks: "Does this represent an overall shift in strategy; do they have to find a new path to 270 electoral votes? Does this represent a sign of things to come in other states? Is the Obama campaign planning to close down offices in states they have initially targeted?"

I guess his money is running out. Obama is not going for Florida, and Virginia. Yet at the beginning of the summer all the pundits said that he would win them big. I guess they were wrong about his chances. But they shouldn't worry, not just yet. For when November rolls around and McCain wins the election, dear sweet Hillary Clinton can then come on all their shows and say:

I told you so!